AK-Sen: Begich Leads Stevens By 13

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A new poll released by Rasmussen shows Anchorage mayor Mark Begich leading the newly indicted Sen. Ted Stevens by 13 points (Begich 50, Stevens 37). Of course, on the off-chance that Stevens loses his primary (which, despite indictment, is not particularly likely) Begich is leading former State Rep. Dave Cuddy by 15 and Florida businessman Vic Vickers by 33 points. Even though this poll came out before I moved AK-Sen back to Leans Democratic (from toss-up), it only confirms what was obvious after the indictment was handed down, Democrats are more likely than not to get at least 55 senate seats this fall (counting Lieberman and Sanders as Democrats). Right now, Election Inspection projects that Democrats will hold 54-56 seats, Republicans will hold 42-44 seats and Independents will hold 2 seats (with at least one caucusing with the Democrats).

h/t James L. of Swing State Project